中国省域流通效率及其影响因素研究——基于空间统计及空间计量分析

文章从市场、产业和企业层面构建流通效率综合评价指标体系，测度了2008~2015年各地区流通效率水平，并借助空间统计分析了我国流通效率的空间相分布特征。研究发现：我国流通效率水平存在显著的正向空间自相关性，环渤海经济圈和长三角经济圈地区流通效率表现为高高集聚特征，中西部地区流通效率则呈低低集聚特征。基于邻接空间、地理距离和经济距离权重矩阵的空间误差模型回归结果显示，邻近地区对本地区流通效率水平具有显著的负向效应，人均 GDP、市场化程度和对外开放对流通效率水平具有显著的正向影响，产业结构、人力资本、政府支出对流通效率的影响只在邻接空间权重下具有显著的正向影响，而城市化对流通效率水平的作用不显著。

Research on Influencing Factors of Circulation Efficiency in China's Provinces ——By Utilizing the Spatial Statistics and Econometric Analysis Method

This paper constructs the circulation ef?ciency evaluation index system from the market, the industry and the enterprise level, measures the circulation efficiency level of each region in China from 2008 to 2015, and then uses the spatial statistics and spatial measurement model to analyze the spatial correlation characteristics and in?uencing factors of the circulation ef?ciency level. The results show that there is a signi?cant spatial correlation between the regional circulation ef?ciency levels, and the high agglomeration characteristics are distributed in the Bohai Sea economic circle and the Yangtze River Delta economic circle. The low and low aggregation characteristics are distributed in the central and western regions. Based on the adjacent space, the spatial error model of the economic distance weight matrix shows that the neighboring regions have a signi?cant negative impact on the regional circulation ef?ciency level. The per capita GDP, the degree of marketization and the opening level have a signi?cant positive impact on the circulation ef?ciency level. The industrial structure, the in?uence of human capital and government expenditure on the ef?ciency of circulation has a signi?cant positive impact under the adjacency space weight, and the impact of the level of circulation ef?ciency is not signi?cant.