Does inflation kill? Exposure to food inflation and child mortality |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Economics, Salem State University, 352 Lafayette, St. Salem, MA 01970, USA;2. Development Research Department, African Development Bank, Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire;1. DePaul University, Chicago, IL, USA;2. Coherent Economics, Chicago, IL, USA;3. Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Sevilla, Spain;4. University of Kansas, Department of Economics, Lawrence, KS, USA;1. Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB T2N 4Z6, Canada;2. School of Public Health, University of Alberta, 11405 87 Avenue NW, Edmonton, AB T6G 1C9, Canada;3. School of Exercise Science, Physical and Health Education, University of Victoria, PO Box 3015 Stn CSC, Victoria, BC V8W 3P1, Canada;4. Healthy Populations Institute, Dalhousie University, Stairs House, PO Box 15000, 6230 South Street, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada;5. Faculty of Education and Department of Child and Youth Study, Mount Saint Vincent University, 166 Bedford Hwy, Halifax, NS B3M 2J6, Canada;6. BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute, School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, 4480 Oak Street, Vancouver, BC V6H 3V4, Canada;7. School of Public Health and Health Systems, University of Waterloo, 200 University Ave West, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada;8. Department of Curriculum and Instruction, Faculty of Education, University of Victoria, PO Box 1700, STN CSC, Victoria, BC V8W 2YW, Canada;1. Dipartimento di Economia agro-alimentare, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Piacenza, Italy;2. Dipartimento di Scienze economiche e sociali, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Piacenza, Italy;1. School for Policy Studies, University of Bristol, 8 Priory Road, Bristol, BS8 1TZ, UK;2. Department of Sociology and Work Science, University of Gothenburg, Sweden;1. CRIEF (EA2249), University of Poitiers, 2 rue Jean Carbonnier Bat A1, TSA 81100, 86073 Poitiers cedex 9, France;2. CEPREMAP, France;3. EconomiX-CNRS, University of Paris Ouest, France |
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| Abstract: | Unlike extreme malnutrition shocks, such as famine and drought which grab the attention of the media, international aid organizations and policymakers, malnutrition due to food price hikes are often neglected and their impacts on children are not well known. It is well established that malnutrition during the critical periods of early life – between conception and the first 1000 days after birth – has lasting consequences on health and mortality. In this paper, using a uniquely constructed data from Ethiopia that takes advantage of high-frequency local retail food prices, we examine the impact of early life exposure to food price inflation on child mortality. Following survival events since conception, we estimate the causal impact of exposure to inflation during in-utero and infancy. The results show that exposure to a 10 percent inflation in staple food prices during in-utero decreases the survival of children under the age of five by about 5.4 percent. We also find that the impacts are non-linear depending on the specific month of exposure and substantially vary by observable characteristics and the type of staple food. |
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| Keywords: | Survival Under-five Malnutrition Ethiopia In-utero Micronutrients E31 I10 I15 Q18 |
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