从投入产出视角看中国能耗加速增长现象

本文运用结构分解方法,对近年来中国能源消费加速增长现象进行了研究,结果表明:(1)1987—2007年间,中间产品投入结构变化和经济规模扩大是导致中国能源消费近年来加速增长的主要原因;(2)在行业层面上,我国能耗加速增长主要与工业,特别是重化工业近年来迅速发展有关;(3)不同最终需求驱动的经济增长对于能源依赖程度不同,中国经济依存结构变化在推动我国经济高速增长的同时,导致能源消费近年来出现加速增长现象。

Understanding the Accelerating Growth of Energy Consumption in China from the Input-output Perspective

The accelerating growth of energy consumption in China between 1987 and 2007 is studied by a structural decomposition analysis.The following results are obtained.First,the changing intermediate input structure and expanding economic scale were the main forces behind energy consumption.Second,at the industry level the growth of energy consumption was mainly driven by the expansion of the manufacturing industries,especially heavy industries.Third,structural change not only promoted economic growth,but also le...