Do Global Trade Distortions Still Harm Developing Country Farmers? |
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Authors: | Kym Anderson Ernesto Valenzuela |
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Institution: | (1) DECRG-TR, World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, 20433 Washington D.C., USA |
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Abstract: | We estimate the impact of global merchandise trade distortions and services regulations on agricultural value added in various
countries. Using the latest versions of the GTAP database and the GTAP-AGR model of the global economy, our results suggest
real net farm incomes would rise in developing countries with a move to free trade, thereby alleviating rural poverty—despite
a terms of trade deterioration for some developing countries that are net food importers or are enjoying preferential access
to agricultural markets of high-income countries. We also show, for several large developing countries, the contribution of
their own versus other countries’ trade policies.
JEL no. C68, D58, F17, Q17 |
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Keywords: | Trade policy reform CGE modeling agricultural markets economic welfare |
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