工业化进程与二元经济结构优化：一个实证研究

运用工业化指数与综合二元反差系数对中国各省级区域的工业化进程、二元经济结构强度分别加以测度,在构建个体固定效应Panel Data模型基础上,实证研究了工业化进程对二元经济结构的优化问题。结果表明：工业化与二元经济结构关系发生了变化,工业化进入了优化二元经济结构阶段;各地区二元经济结构强度个体固定效应明显,西部地区二元经济结构优化的基础较其他地区弱;二元经济结构问题仍是我国当前的一大难题,破解二元经济结构的重点在西部,难点也在西部。

The Process of Industrialization and Optimization of Dual Economic Structure: An Empirical Study

On the basis of the process index of industrialization and comprehensive dual contrast coefficient calculated to 31 provinces and cities from 2000 to 2007,by using the Fixed Effects Model of Panel Data,this paper represents attempt to study the impact of industrialization on dual economic structure.The evidence from the estimation of the models is found that industrialization has a significant positive long-run impact on optimization of dual economic structure.It shows that Fixed Effects is very difference which the basic condition of optimization of dual economic structure in the Western China is weaker than others.The evidence is also found that the main and difficult points in optimizing dual economic structure are in the Western China.