Distribution and determinants of lifetime unemployment |
| |
Authors: | Achim Schmillen,Joachim Mö ller |
| |
Affiliation: | a Institute for Employment Research, Regensburger Strasse 104, 90478 Nuremberg, Germanyb Osteuropa-Institut Regensburg, Landshuter Strasse 4, 93047 Regensburg, Germanyc University of Regensburg, Universitätsstrasse 31, 93053 Regensburg, Germanyd Institute for the Study of Labor, Schaumburg-Lippe-Strasse 5-9, 53113 Bonn, Germany |
| |
Abstract: | The empirical literature on unemployment almost exclusively focuses on the duration of distinct unemployment spells. In contrast, we use a unique administrative micro data set for the time span 1975-2004 to investigate individual lifetime unemployment — defined as the cumulative length of all unemployment spells over a 25-year period. This new perspective enables us to answer questions regarding the long-term distribution and determinants of unemployment for birth cohorts 1950-1954. We show that lifetime unemployment is highly concentrated on a small part of the population. With censored quantile regressions we investigate the long-lasting influence of bad luck early in the professional career: Controlling for individual and firm characteristics we find that choosing at a young age what turns out to be an unfavorable occupation significantly increases the predicted amount of lifetime unemployment. |
| |
Keywords: | J64 J24 |
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录! |
|