| 基于SD的牛鞭效应建模与仿真分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵美,王立欣,刘海涛.基于SD的牛鞭效应建模与仿真分析[J].河北工业科技,2010,27(1):14-17,21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵美 王立欣 刘海涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 军械工程学院装备指挥与管理系,河北石家庄,050003
2. 河北科技大学经济管理学院,河北石家庄,050018 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过建立一个三级供应链系统的SD模型,研究探讨牛鞭效应的产生机制及弱化途径。仿真结果表明,牛鞭效应很大程度上是供应链体系自身的特点和结构造成的,而采用具有信息共享机制的VMI订货模式可以大大弱化牛鞭效应,能够有效降低供应链各节点的库存成本。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学 牛鞭效应 建模 仿真 |
Modeling and simulation analysis of bullwhip effect based on systematic dynamics |
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| ZHAO Mei,WANG Li-xin and LIU Hai-tao.Modeling and simulation analysis of bullwhip effect based on systematic dynamics[J].Hebei Journal of Industrial Science & Technology,2010,27(1):14-17,21. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Mei WANG Li-xin and LIU Hai-tao |
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| Institution: | 1.Department of Equipment Command and Management;Ordnance Engineering College;Shijiazhuang Hebei 050003;China;2.College of Economics and Management;Hebei University of Science and Technology;Shijiazhuang Hebei 050018;China |
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| Abstract: | By establishing a SD model of a three level supply chained system,the engendering mechanism and weakening methods of bullwhip effect are simulated on a computer.The simulation result shows that bullwhip effect are mainly caused by its own structure of the supply chain,thus,bullwhip effect can't be eliminated completely.However,it will become weak and small by the VMI ordering,because information is shared and the ordering lead time is shortened effectively.Accordingly,the inventory cost of the supply chain ... |
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| Keywords: | systematic dynamics bullwhip effect modeling simulation |
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