未来十年我国旅游增长空间研究及其数量预测

未来十年将是我国旅游业的战略转型期，是我国建设世界旅游强国的关键十年，将迎来若干个非线性增长的拐点因素。未来十年，宏观经济持续增长，收入增长、社会结构与消费结构的变化，旅游发展阶段性的跨越，国家层面重大举措的拉动，和平的国际环境的拉动，重大国际盛事的拉动，新业态的拉动，我国旅游产业环比增长率基数将达到12％～16％，到2015年旅游总收入将实现倍增计划。

China Tourism Industry Growth Forecast in the Next 10 Years

The next 10 years will be the time of China tourism strategy transition,the key time to construct the World Tourism power country,will usher in a number of non-linear growth inflection point factors.In the next 10 years,macroeconomic sustained growth,income growth,social structure and consumption structure changes,tourism development stage leap forward,the national-level major move pulling,peaceful international environment pulling,major international events pulling,new format pulling,the base rate of China...