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国际贸易与全要素生产率——基于中国省际面板数据的门槛回归分析
引用本文:迟旭蕾.国际贸易与全要素生产率——基于中国省际面板数据的门槛回归分析[J].经济与管理,2014(4):80-84.
作者姓名:迟旭蕾
作者单位:齐鲁工业大学财政与金融学院,山东济南250100
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(12YJA630102)
摘    要:利用中国30个省际区域1998年至2012年的数据,采用门槛回归分析方法检验国际贸易对全要素生产率影响的门槛效应,结果发现正门槛效应的存在,即对于经济不发达地区,国际贸易与全要素生产率是显著负相关,随着经济发展水平的提高,这种关系由负转为无影响,然后由无影响转为正影响,正影响又会随着经济发展水平越过一个更高的门槛由小变大。

关 键 词:国际贸易  技术溢出  全要素生产率  面板数据  门槛效应

International Trade and Total Factor Productivity ——Based on Analysis of the Inter Provincial Panel Data Threshold Regression in China
Chi Xulei.International Trade and Total Factor Productivity ——Based on Analysis of the Inter Provincial Panel Data Threshold Regression in China[J].Economy and Management,2014(4):80-84.
Authors:Chi Xulei
Institution:Chi Xulei (School of Finance and Economies, Qilu Industrial University,Jinan 250100, China)
Abstract:Using the data of Chinese 30 provincial regions in 1998 to 2012, we use threshold regression analysis method for the determination of threshold effect of international trade on total factor productivity. The result shows that it exists the threshold effect, that is the economically underdeveloped areas, international trade and total factor productivity is significantly negative correlation. With the increased level of economic development, the relationship is from negative to no effect. Then the no effect to positive effects, positive effects and with the level of economic development across a higher threshold changes from small to large.
Keywords:International trade  Technology spillovers  Total factor productivity  Panel data  Threshold effect
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