| 国际资本流动对房地产价格的影响——基于我国的实证检验(1998-2006年) |
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| 引用本文： | 宋勃,高波. 国际资本流动对房地产价格的影响——基于我国的实证检验(1998-2006年)[J]. 财经问题研究, 2007, 0(3): 55-61 |
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| 作者姓名： | 宋勃 高波 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京大学,经济学系,江苏,南京,210093 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科学规划基金，国家社会科学基金，面向21世纪教育振兴行动计划(985计划) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在考虑通货膨胀的条件下,利用我国1998-2006年的实际利用外资和房地产价格的季度数据建立误差纠正模型(ECM),使用Granger因果检验方法对我国的房地产价格和国际资本流动的关系进行实证检验.得出结论,短期而言,房地产价格上涨吸引了外资的流入;长期来说,外资的流入对我国的住房价格上涨产生了影响.在现阶段控制外资过度流入房地产市场,有利于保持我国房地产价格的稳定.
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| 关 键 词： | 通货膨胀 资本流动 房地产价格 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-176X(2007)03-0055-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-20 |
Influence of International Capital Flow on Housing and Land Price——Positive Test Based on the data in China(1998-2006) |
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| SONG Bo,GAO Bo. Influence of International Capital Flow on Housing and Land Price——Positive Test Based on the data in China(1998-2006)[J]. Research On Financial and Economic Issues, 2007, 0(3): 55-61 |
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| Authors: | SONG Bo GAO Bo |
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| Affiliation: | Economic Department, Nanjing University, Jiangsu Nanjing 210093, China |
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| Abstract: | In the paper,an error-correction model was formed by considering inflation and using quarterly data of factual foreign capital flow and Chinese housing price from 1998 to 2006,and tested by Granger-causality test.In conclusion,jack-up of housing price results in inflow of foreign capital in the short run;while in the long run,inflow of foreign capital has an effect on jack-up of housing price.Now,it is advantageous for China to keep stabilization of housing price by controlling excessive inflow of foreign capital. |
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| Keywords: | inflation capital flow housing and land price |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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