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中国会重蹈日本八十年代的覆辙吗
引用本文:卢万青. 中国会重蹈日本八十年代的覆辙吗[J]. 特区经济, 2007, 221(6): 133-134
作者姓名:卢万青
作者单位:广东外语外贸大学,国际经济贸易学院国际经济贸易研究中心,广东,广州,510420
摘    要:当前中国的经济形势与20世纪80年代后期的日本非常相似,本国货币持续地升值,资金大量涌入股市和房市,使股价房价大幅上涨。那么中国是否会重蹈日本的覆辙呢?比较分析表明中日有诸多不同的地方,中国处于高速增长期而日本经济处于平稳增长期,中国宏观政策稳健而日本宏观政策失当,日元大幅升值而人民币小幅缓慢升值,因此,日本泡沫破灭之后的长达十年之久的萧条不太可能在中国重演。

关 键 词:中国  日本  经济泡沫  经济萧条

China will follow the same old disastrous road of Japan''''s 80s
Lu Wan Qing. China will follow the same old disastrous road of Japan''''s 80s[J]. Special Zone Economy, 2007, 221(6): 133-134
Authors:Lu Wan Qing
Abstract:Present economic situation of our country is similar to that of Japanese in the late 1980s.Will Chinese economy have the same end as that of Japan in the 1990s? According the results of the comparative analysis,China is in the rapid development period,the macroeconomic policies are stable and RMB appreciates by slight and slow step.However,in the late 1980s,Japan was in the stable development,the macroeconomic policies were not suitable and Japanese Yen appreciated sharply.Thus,the economic depression of Japan in the 1990s won't happen in China again.
Keywords:China   Japan   Economic Bubbles   Economic Depression  
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