Abstract: | Bankers have, from their beginning, made their money by takingrisks and deciding how much risk they dare take, by expandinggradually, testing the water. Within this framework, the firstrisk is of illiquidity, but they must also ensure solvency.The steps taken by Northern Rock in developing their presentbusiness plan are the same as those taken by mostother banks, responding to the same incentives. It is the rapidityof its expansion that resulted in its downfall. The steps thathave been taken also by other banks can be traced back to thebeginning of banking and are predictable. Northern Rock's difficultieswere predictable – and were predicted. |