| 中国罗非鱼出口贸易影响因素分析——基于引力模型的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 代云云,袁永明,袁媛,张红燕. 中国罗非鱼出口贸易影响因素分析——基于引力模型的实证研究[J]. 中国渔业经济, 2014, 32(6): 96-99 |
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| 作者姓名： | 代云云 袁永明 袁媛 张红燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国水产科学研究院淡水渔业研究中心/国家罗非鱼产业技术研发中心/农业部淡水渔业和种质资源利用重点实验室,江苏无锡,214081 |
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| 基金项目： | 中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金项目“罗非鱼国内市场潜力的研究”，现代农业产业技术体系专项，国家自科基金项目“罗非鱼产业技术效率与市场竞争力研究” |
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| 摘 要： | 中国罗非鱼产业一直依靠国际市场来带动其发展，过分依赖于主要贸易伙伴国（地区）。论文选取2002—2012年中国向15个贸易伙伴国（地区）罗非鱼出口量的面板数据，利用引力模型分析中国罗非鱼出口贸易的影响因素，为改善罗非鱼的出口现状、保障罗非鱼产业的持续稳定发展提供政策建议。研究结果表明：需求方的各项经济因素对罗非鱼出口的影响是较大的，罗非鱼国内生产成本的上升制约了罗非鱼的出口贸易，世贸组织和亚太经合组织对促进罗非鱼出口贸易有一定作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 罗非鱼 出口贸易 引力模型 |
Study on the affecting factors of Chinese tilapia export: based on gravity model |
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| DAI Yun-yun,YUAN Yong-ming,YUAN Yuan,ZHANG Hong-yan. Study on the affecting factors of Chinese tilapia export: based on gravity model[J]. Chinese Fisheries Economics, 2014, 32(6): 96-99 |
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| Authors: | DAI Yun-yun YUAN Yong-ming YUAN Yuan ZHANG Hong-yan |
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| Affiliation: | (Tilapia industrial Research Center of China Agriculture Research System, Key Laboratory of Freshwater Fisheries and Germplasm Resources Utilization, Ministry of Agriculture, Freshwater Fisheries Research Center, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Jiangsu Wuxi 214081, China) |
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| Abstract: | The development of Chinese tilapia industry has been relying on international markets, which is limited by the main trading partners. Based on gravity model, the paper uses Chinese 15 main trading partners＇ panel data of peartrade from 1992 to 2009 to conduct empirical study of influencing factors and estimate potential for tilapia exports, and put forward reasonable proposals to enhance the export volume and optimize the layout of tilapia exporting market. The results show that： economic factors on the demand side have an important impact on exporting; rapid increase in cost of production severely restricted the exports; WTO and APEC promote the development of tilapia export. |
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| Keywords: | tilapia export trade gravity model |
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