地区主网规划的负荷预测方法研究

随着经济的快速发展和人民生活水平的不断提高,社会用电需求量不断增加,据统计,我国目前的用电负荷每年以10%左右的幅度增长。用电负荷持续增长主要是由于人口增加、企业发展、产业增多、工业生产等多方面因素所致,这对电力主网的运行造成了巨大的压力。为了避免主网在超负荷状态下运行,维持社会电力系统的稳定、安全、可靠运行,做好主网规划工作是必不可少的。针对这一点,文章主要阐述了主网规划中负荷预测方法的运用。

Study on the load forecasting method of regional trunk power network planning

With the rapid economic development and rising living standards,social electricity demand is increasing continuously.According to statistics,the power consumption load in China grows about 10% annually at present.The main cause of continuous growth of power load is population increase,enterprises development,industries increase,industrial production,ect,which causes great pressure to the operation of trunk power grid.In order to avoid that the trunk network is operating in overload condition and maintain th...