电信过度竞争之经济必然性

本文从产业经济学角度出发,运用近些年来中国和其它一些国家电信运营商的经营数据论证了为什么电信产业容易陷入过度竞争,并通过构建一个对称均衡的消耗战模型进一步阐明了导致电信产业过度竞争的几个关键性因素:高额垄断利润预期,“低边际、高固定”的成本构成,价格为主的竞争手段。文章认为,要促进电信行业有效竞争也需要从以上几个方面入手。

Excessive-competition in Telecommunication Industry

Based on the theory of industrial organization and business data of some telecom carriers from China and other countries,this thesis discusses the inevitability of excessive-competition while regulation is simply relaxed.Furthermore,by using a symmetric balance game model,the author proves three essential factors which contribute to the unpleasant state: high expectation on monopoly profit,unbalanced costs structure and price-focused competition.Influenced by these factors,simple deregulation will bring no society welfare but a war of attrition.At last,the thesis suggests several theoretical measures to changing these factors so as to create an effective environment for telecom competition.