Testing of unit root and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series |
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Authors: | L.A. Gil-Alañ a,P.M. Robinson |
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Affiliation: | Department of Economics, London School of Economics, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK |
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Abstract: | Recently proposed tests for unit root and other nonstationarity of Robinson (1994a) are applied to an extended version of the data set used by Nelson and Plosser (1982). Unusually, the tests are efficient (against appropriate parametric alternatives), the null can be any member of the I(d) class, and the null limit distribution is chi-squared. The conclusions vary substantially across the 14 series, and across different models for the disturbances (which, also unusually, include the Bloomfield spectral model). Overall, the consumer price index and money stock seem the most nonstationary, while industrial production and unemployment rate seem the closest to stationarity. |
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Keywords: | Nonstationarity Macroeconomic time series Fractional integration |
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