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Spam mails impede economic growth
Authors:Yasuharu Ukai  Toshihiko Takemura
Institution:(1) The Research Center of Socionetwork Strategies, Kansai University, 3-3-35 Yamate-cho, Suita 564-8680 Osaka, Japan;(2) Faculty of Informatics, Kansai University, 2-1-1 Ryozenji, Takatsuki 569-1095 Osaka, Japan
Abstract:We estimate labor losses caused by spam mails and input these estimated values into a production function, while also estimating damage to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Japan. As a result, we have found that spam mails decreased the Japanese GDP by about 500 billion yen in 2004. This marginal negative effect of spam mail to the GDP increased with the progress of broadband in 2000. Moreover, from the result of a social simulation conducted by the authors, the amount of damage is projected to reach 1% of the Japanese GDP by 2010, unless adequate countermeasures are taken against spam mails. This projection provides a statistical fundamental to several theoretical analyses of spam mails.
Keywords:Spam mails  Loss of labor  Production function  GDP  Negative effects to economic growth
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