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The Age of the Dragon: The Effect of Imports from China on Firm‐Level Prices
Authors:MATTEO BUGAMELLI  SILVIA FABIANI  ENRICO SETTE
Abstract:We analyze the impact of increased import penetration from China on the dynamics of firm‐level output prices in Italy. Accounting for potential endogeneity biases we find a significant and negative causal relationship: a 0.1 percentage point higher Chinese import penetration restrains price growth by 0.17 percentage points per year. This relationship reflects a procompetitive effect induced by cheaper imports, and, thanks to the firm‐level dimension of our data, we show that it is driven by low‐productivity firms within less skill‐intensive sectors. Finally, we show that Chinese import competition also had a dampening effect on Italian overall inflation.
Keywords:E31  F10  F14  L11  import penetration  China  price dynamics  firms and productivity
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