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The Impact of Housing Markets on Consumer Debt: Credit Report Evidence from 1999 to 2012
Authors:META BROWN  SARAH STEIN  BASIT ZAFAR
Abstract:We estimate the response of consumer debt portfolios to pronounced housing market swings from 1999 to 2012 using Equifax‐sourced credit report data and a variety of identification approaches. We find: (i) the extraordinary climb in home equity debt from 2002 to 2006 is an expression of a stable, longer‐term relationship between house price growth and home equity borrowing; (ii) all preboom homeowners, and older and prime postboom homeowners, demonstrate near dollar‐for‐dollar substitution between (expensive) credit card and (cheap) home equity debt in response to home equity changes; and (iii) little evidence of substitution between home equity and student loan debt.
Keywords:D12  D14  D91  G01  housing  consumer finance  student loans
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