Imperfect information, Bayesian learning, and capital accumulation |
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Authors: | Graziella Bertocchi Yong Wang |
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Institution: | (1) Universita' di Modena and CEPR, Italy;(2) Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, USA |
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Abstract: | This paper examines the consequences of informational imperfections for economic growth in an overlapping generations model in which agents learn the technological parameters in a Bayesian fashion. Under mild sufficient conditions, beliefs converge to the true value of the technological parameters. Nevertheless, even short-lived informational imperfections could have lasting effects, as they alter the long-run equilibrium levels of the capital stock. Therefore, learning dynamics may explain some of the observed differences in the performance of countries with otherwise similar economic characteristics. |
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Keywords: | Bayesian learning overlapping generations capital accumulation |
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