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电力企业定量风险评估理论方法探讨
引用本文:张文泉,张爱军,胡庆辉.电力企业定量风险评估理论方法探讨[J].电力技术经济,2007,19(3):52-56.
作者姓名:张文泉  张爱军  胡庆辉
作者单位:1. 华北电力大学,北京,102206
2. 国电山东石横发电厂,山东,石横,272000
3. 山西省电力公司,山西,太原,030001
摘    要:电力企业定量风险评估(QRA)是一项涵盖并以安全工程、可靠性工程、风险分析等为基础的综合研究。针对电力工业自身的特点及电力市场化改革的进程,阐述了电力企业QRA的基本思想、流程框架、主要工作内容及基本方法。通过实施QRA,可帮助电力企业全面识别风险,有利于电力企业将风险水平控制在规定水平之内,并针对风险作出正确、合理的决策。

关 键 词:电力企业  风险管理  定量风险评估
文章编号:1008-1682(2007)03-0052-05
修稿时间:2007年2月11日

Study on the Theory and Method of Quantitative Risk Assessment of Power Companies
ZHANG Wen-quan,ZHANG Ai-jun,HU qing-hui.Study on the Theory and Method of Quantitative Risk Assessment of Power Companies[J].Electric Power Technologic Economics,2007,19(3):52-56.
Authors:ZHANG Wen-quan  ZHANG Ai-jun  HU qing-hui
Abstract:Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of electric power companies is a comprehensive study based on the safety engineering, reliability engineering and risk analysis. According to the characteristics of the power industry and the process of reform on the power market, the fundamental thinking, the process framework, the primary tasks and the basic method of QRA for power companies are discussed. The method of QRA can help power companies distinguish risks in an all-round way, keep the risk level within specified limits and make reasonable decisions accordingly.
Keywords:power company  risk management  quantitative risk assessment
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