国际贸易结构对经济增长的影响路径研究——基于货物贸易与服务贸易的比较分析

本文考察了国际货物贸易和国际服务贸易分别对经济增长的影响路径,结果发现,两种贸易对经济增长的影响路径存在显著差异,货物贸易主要通过物质资本积累和技术进步来促进经济增长,而服务贸易除了以上路径以外还通过人力资本积累和提高市场化程度来促进经济增长。对不同要素密集型服务贸易的分类研究表明,技术与知识密集型服务贸易比劳动密集型、资本密集型服务贸易更加有利于经济增长。随后本文对以上结论做了相应的稳健性检验。最后,本文在此研究结论的基础上给出了相应的政策建议。

The Impact of International Trade Structure on Economic Growth:A Contrasting Analysis between Merchandise Trade and Service Trade

This paper studies the impact of international merchandise trade and international service trade on economic growth and reveals the different impact routes.International merchandise trade promotes economic growth by physical assets and technology progress,while international service trade,by human capital and marketization besides physical assets and technology progress.After studying international service trade of various factor-intensive,we conclude that technology and knowledge intensive international se...