Metal prices made in China? A network analysis of industrial metal futures |
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Authors: | Pierre L Siklos Martin Stefan Claudia Wellenreuther |
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Institution: | 1. Department of Economics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada;2. Department of Economics, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Münster, Germany |
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Abstract: | In addition to being the world's greatest consumer and producer of industrial metals, China now also features the most actively traded industrial metal futures contracts worldwide. To examine China's role in the global price formation process of industrial metal futures markets, we use a sample of 29 futures contracts traded on exchanges in the United States, the United Kingdom, India, and China. We estimate vector autoregressive models and conduct variance decompositions, which are then visualized in the form of networks. The results indicate that China, despite its role as key actor in both real and financial industrial metal markets, is a price taker. |
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Keywords: | China commodity markets industrial metals networks price leadership |
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