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HAZARD PROCESSES AND MARTINGALE HAZARD PROCESSES
Authors:Delia Coculescu  Ashkan Nikeghbali
Institution:1. Swiss Banking Institute, Universit?t Zürich;2. Institut für Mathematik and Swiss Banking Institute, Universit?t Zürich
Abstract:In this paper, we build a bridge between different reduced‐form approaches to pricing defaultable claims. In particular, we show how the well‐known formulas by Duffie, Schroder, and Skiadas and by Elliott, Jeanblanc, and Yor are related. Moreover, in the spirit of Collin Dufresne, Hugonnier, and Goldstein, we propose a simple pricing formula under an equivalent change of measure. Two processes will play a central role: the hazard process and the martingale hazard process attached to a default time. The crucial step is to understand the difference between them, which has been an open question in the literature so far. We show that pseudo‐stopping times appear as the most general class of random times for which these two processes are equal. We also show that these two processes always differ when τ is an honest time, providing an explicit expression for the difference. Eventually we provide a solution to another open problem: we show that if τ is an arbitrary random (default) time such that its Azéma's supermartingale is continuous, then τ avoids stopping times.
Keywords:default modeling  credit risk models  random times  enlargements of filtrations  hazard process  immersed filtrations  pseudo‐stopping times  honest times
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