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Foreign direct investment under a weak rule of law
Authors:Xiaozu Wang  Lixin Colin Xu  Tian Zhu
Affiliation:1. School of Management, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. E‐mail: wangxz@fudan.edu.cn;2. Development Research Group, The World Bank, Washington, DC, USA. E‐mail: lxu1@worldbank.org;3. China Europe International Business School, Shanghai, China. E‐mail: ztian@ceibs.edu
Abstract:We have developed a self‐enforcing contract model to show that better economic fundamentals can help an area or a region under a weak rule of law – but with order – to attract foreign direct investments (FDIs), whereas lowering taxes does not necessarily help. Using a cross‐region Chinese dataset, we find evidence consistent with our theoretical analysis. Regional variations in tax rates and the perceived quality of formal contracting institutions are not correlated with regional FDI inflows, but leadership characteristics are. Most conventional economic factors have the predicted effects on FDIs. The finding that FDI is lower in locations where domestic private firms have better access to finance and where the air quality is poor is also new to the literature.
Keywords:F1  F2  P4  P5  O1  O5  FDI  rule of law  China  institutions  implicit contract  leadership  economic performance
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