城市化、创新与全要素生产率增长——基于省际面板数据的经验研究

本文首先采用Malmquist指数方法测算我国29个省份1991-2007年间全要素生产率增长情况,研究城市化、创新与全要素生产率之间的协整关系,并基于面板误差修正模型考察短期波动的影响。得出结论:(1)城市化、创新与全要素生产率具有长期均衡关系,城市化和创新对全要素生产率增长具有长期的正向影响,城市化通过创新中介效应显著地驱动全要素生产率增长,这种影响在沿海和内陆之间存在差异;(2)城市化对全要素生产率具有积极的短期影响,且滞后一期影响强度大于当期,而创新对全要素生产率并不产生短期正向影响。

Urbanization, Innovation and Total Factor Productivity: Empirical Study Based on Inter-provincial Panel Data

This paper, applying the Malmquist index, calculates the TFP of China during the period of 1991-2007, and then sets up a co-integration and ECM model to discuss the relationship among urbanization, innovation and TFP. The results are as follows:(1) there is a long-term equilibrium among urbanization, innovation and TFP. Urbanization has significantly positive influence on TFP through innovation, and the effect on TFP shows difference in different regions; (2) Urbanization has immediately positive effect on ...