| 我国货物运输保险影响物流业发展实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁璟璟.我国货物运输保险影响物流业发展实证研究[J].保险职业学院学报,2011(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁璟璟 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京工商大学; |
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| 摘 要： | 本文使用物流业发展规模和发展效率作为物流业发展的衡量指标,选取我国1991-2010年的年度数据,运用VAR模型的脉冲响应函数和方差分解方法对货物运输保险和物流业发展的关系进行实证研究。结果表明:货物运输保险与物流业发展规模和发展效率都是一阶单整的,它们之间存在长期协整关系,并且只存在单向因果关系:货物运输保险是物流业发展规模的格兰杰原因,也是物流业发展效率的格兰杰原因,反之不成立。而且货物运输保险的发展在短期内对物流业规模的发展影响不明显,但在长期内有较大的促进作用;对物流业发展效率的促进作用较稳定,总体来说有利于物流业的振兴和发展。最后在此基础上提出相应的对策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 货物运输保险 物流业发展 VAR模型 脉冲响应函数 方差分解 |
Empirical Study on the Development in Logistics Industry Affected by Cargo Transportation Insurance |
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| Yuan Jingjing.Empirical Study on the Development in Logistics Industry Affected by Cargo Transportation Insurance[J].JOURNAL OF INSURANCE PROFESSIONAL COLLEGE,2011(6). |
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| Authors: | Yuan Jingjing |
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| Institution: | Yuan Jingjing |
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| Abstract: | In this paper the author develop a model to do empirical research about the relationship between the cargo insurance and the logistics industry.In this model the author uses the VAR model impulse response functions and variance decomposition method.And in this research the author selects the annual data from 1991 to 2010 in China to define the main measures including the scale and efficiency of logistics industry's development,and total income of the cargo insurance as its development level.The research sho... |
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| Keywords: | Cargo insurance Logistics industry VAR model Impulse response function Variance decomposition |
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