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"新政"后的北京房价走势分析
引用本文:施昌奎. "新政"后的北京房价走势分析[J]. 城市问题, 2005, 0(6): 99-101
作者姓名:施昌奎
作者单位:北京市社会科学院管理研究所
摘    要:北京出台一系列调控房价措施之后,炒房者的投机行为受到了一定程度的遏制,但北京的消费需求持续高涨,这就造成北京房价在今后一个相当长的时期内会有一个温和的上涨态势.造成这一态势的主要原因有四个方面:一是消费需求持续高涨,四类特殊人群"支撑"北京房价;二是基础建材价格上升,土地使用受制使房价呈现刚性;三是中低档商品住宅房长期供不应求,抬高了整个房价基础;四是股票市场的低迷,使更多的资金选择到房地产市场中来.

关 键 词:宏观"  新政"    消费需求  成本刚性  住宅结构  资本市场
文章编号:1002-2031(2005)06-0099-03
修稿时间:2005-07-05

Analyzing the trend of price of Beijing real estate after "New Policy"
SHI Chang-kui. Analyzing the trend of price of Beijing real estate after "New Policy"[J]. Urban Problems, 2005, 0(6): 99-101
Authors:SHI Chang-kui
Abstract:Building speculate behavior is restrict after "new policy",but the building consumer demand is very high,so Beijing building price trend will be placed in the high degree in the future.The first cause is the high consumer demand,Beijing building price were jack upped by four special crowd.The second cause is the inflation,the price of building materials rises continuously,land and labor are rigid.The third cause is irrational building structure,the cheaper building is very shortfull.The fourth cause is the defective capital market,overcast of stock market make the capital flow into the building market.
Keywords:new macroscopic policy  consumer demand  rigid cost  building structure  capital market  
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