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广东省外贸与经济增长关系的实证分析
引用本文:查贵勇. 广东省外贸与经济增长关系的实证分析[J]. 国际经贸探索, 2006, 22(4): 26-29
作者姓名:查贵勇
作者单位:上海金融学院国际经济与贸易系,上海201209
摘    要:近年来广东省对外贸易和GDP均呈现出强势发展势头,两者呈现出密切的关系.在对外贸发展与经济增长进行Granger因果检验并发现其间存在单向Granger影响的基础上,对外贸对经济增长的效应进行计量分析,发现出口对GDP的促进和拉动效应强于进口,进而就其原因进行分析,并提出政策建议.

关 键 词:外贸  经济增长  广东
文章编号:1002-0594(2006)04-0026-04
收稿时间:2006-01-27
修稿时间:2006-01-27

Empiric Analysis of the Relationship between Foreign Trade Augment and Economic Growth in Guangdong Province
ZHA Guiyong. Empiric Analysis of the Relationship between Foreign Trade Augment and Economic Growth in Guangdong Province[J]. International Economics and Trade Research, 2006, 22(4): 26-29
Authors:ZHA Guiyong
Affiliation:Shanghai Financial Institute,Shanghai 201209,China
Abstract:In the past years,foreign trade augment and economic growth in Guangdong province have indicated a consanguineous relationship. The paper makes a Granger causality test and finds out unilateral causalities between foreign trade augment and economic growth. Then it makes an econometric analysis and finds out that export has exerted more stimulative effects on economic growth than import. It concludes with the discussion of the causes and some suggestions.
Keywords:foreign trate   economic growth   Guangdong
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