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Sustainability of current accounts: evidence from the quantile unit-root test
Authors:Chen-Yin Kuo
Affiliation:Tung Fang Design Institute, Kaohsiung, Taiwan, R.O.C.
Abstract:Regarding the stationarity of current accounts, previous studies used panel unit-root tests to improve the power of augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test. This paper applies a quantile autoregression (QAR) approach to improve ADF test in the presence of outliers, and found that first, the stationarity was present in a QAR framework, rather than ADF test. Second, current accounts exhibited symmetric (e.g. Taiwan) and asymmetric patterns, which showed that positive shocks in larger quantiles induce current accounts to adjust towards a long-term equilibrium for Korea, Thailand, the Philippines and Singapore. Japan exhibited an asymmetric pattern in response to negative shocks in smaller quantiles.
Keywords:Current accounts sustainability  augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test  quantile autoregression (QAR) test  unit-root test  asymmetric patterns
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