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Conflict analysis of the NAFTA negotiations
Authors:Niall M. Fraser  Francisco Garcia
Affiliation:(1) Department of Management Sciences, University of Waterloo, N2L 3G1 Waterloo, Ontario, Canada;(2) Centro de Estudios Estratégicos, Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico
Abstract:The 1991–92 negotiations for a North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) are modelled at two points in time during the negotiation process from a Mexican perspective. The first model in February 1992 captures the positions of the parties on several key issues. The second model in April 1992 concentrates on the energy issue, which is of particular importance to Mexico. The formal model provided a framework for structuring the negotiation, and a communications medium for discussing and recording it. The analyses were fairly accurate as predictors of events and could have been effective in giving advice to the negotiations.
Keywords:negotiation  international trade  conflict analysis  modeling  NAFTA  Mexico
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