基于经济指标构建的社会稳定风险评估研究

本文选用人均GDP、 GDP增速、基尼系数、物价指数和失业率等5项经济指标对社会稳定风险进行了评估，结果表明：国际横向比较，我国社会稳定程度目前处于中等偏上水平，主要得分在高速的GDP增长、较低的物价指数和失业率方面；自身纵向比较，我国社会稳定风险近年呈加大趋势，主要失分在贫富差距扩大和通货膨胀压力上升方面。笔者的分析结果显示，确保在贫富分化项上不再失分甚至有所加分，即确保贫富差距不再扩大并力争有所缩小，对于保持社会稳定极其重要。

The Social Stability Risk Assessment of Economic Indicators Construction

In this research, we used the economic index of social stability risk assessment system.Looking at the economic situation on the basis of social stability, we selected five economic indicators ( per capita GDP, GDP growth rate, the Gini coefficient, CPI, and the unemployment rate) for social stability risk assessment.The results suggest that by international comparison, the social stability in China at present has reached the middle-upper level, mainly benefiting from rapid GDP growth as well as low CPI and unemployment rates; by the longitudinal comparison, the social stability risk in China in recent years shows an increasing trend, suffering from widening gap between the rich and the poor as well as rising inflation pressures.The next few years will be critical to the success of transformation in the mode of economic development in China, and its avoidance of the middle income trap.