Chernobyl Effects on Domestic and Inbound Tourism in Sweden -- A Time Series Analysis |
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| Authors: | LARS Hultkrantz CHRISTINA Olsson |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Department of Economics, University of Uppsala and Center for Research on Transportation and Society, Dalarna University College, S-781 88, Borl?:nge, Sweden
2. Department of Economics, Ume? University, S-901 87, Ume?, Sweden
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| Abstract: | This paper estimates the impact of the Chernobyl nuclear accident on domestic and international tourism in Sweden. From ARIMA time series forecasts, outlier search, and intervention analysis based on regional monthly accommodation data from 1978–1989, no effect on domestic tourism is found. However, there is an enduring deterrence effect on incoming tourism. The loss of gross revenue from incoming tourism because of the Chernobyl accident, is estimated to 2.5 billion SEK. |
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| Keywords: | tourism Chernobyl intervention analysis |
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