当前中国宏观经济形势分析与政策建议

2011年,中国的经济形势依然具有典型的"两面性"特征。短期内经济增长虽然可能出现小幅波动,但全年经济运行将进一步趋于平稳,经济增长率预计可保持在9.5%左右,仍处于稳定增长水平。但宏观经济运行中依然存在许多矛盾和问题。因此,在宏观经济政策上要适时做出调整:第一,进一步推进市场化改革,完善宏观调控基础;第二,宏观调控要从需求管理为主转变为供给管理为主,加快推进结构调整;第三,财政政策要继续保持必要的刺激力度,货币政策操作重点要放在支持企业恢复和提高生产能力、增强经济活力以及引导通胀预期上。

Analysis of China's Current Macroeconomic Situation and Policy Proposals

China's economic situation in 2011 will take on the typical "double-face" features.Though the economic growth in the short term may fluctuate at small ranges,the economy during the whole year will get more stable and the growth rate is expected to be at about 9.5%,a stable growth.However,there are still some problems and conflicts in the macro-economic operation.Therefore,it is necessary to adjust the macroeconomic policies.Firstly,the market reform has to be put forward so as to consolidate the foundation for macro control.Secondly,the macro control shall shift from demand management to supply management so as to accelerate the structure adjustment.Finally,the financial policies need to maintain some stimulation and the focus of the monetary policy shall be on how to help enterprises to recover and enhance the productivity,bring about the economic vigor and guide the expected inflation.