| 基于净现值指标的概率分析研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 安雅琴,何松柏,杨建明.基于净现值指标的概率分析研究[J].价值工程,2009,28(11):136-138. |
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| 作者姓名： | 安雅琴 何松柏 杨建明 |
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| 作者单位： | 军事交通学院汽车指挥系,天津,300161 |
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| 摘 要： | 研究了经济评价中的概率分析问题。在敏感性分析的基础上,对主要评价指标—项目净现值的概率分析引用了一种新的方法,实例表明该方法简单可行,为项目经济评价工作提供了新的思路。
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| 关 键 词： | 概率分析 敏感性分析 净现值 期望值 |
To Study on Probability Analysing Based on NPV Index |
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| An Yaqin; He Songbai;Yang Jianming.To Study on Probability Analysing Based on NPV Index[J].Value Engineering,2009,28(11):136-138. |
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| Authors: | An Yaqin; He Songbai;Yang Jianming |
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| Institution: | An Yaqin; He Songbai;Yang Jianming(Department of Automobile Transport Command, Academy of Military Transportation, Tianjin 300161, China) |
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| Abstract: | Probability analysis in economic appraisal is studied in this paper. On the basis of sensitivity analysis, a new method of probability analysis is applied on main evaluation index of net prevent value （NPV）. An example shows that the method is simple and practical, and provides a new thought to item economic appraisal. |
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| Keywords: | probability analysis sensitivity analysis NPV expectation |
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