我国储蓄结构变化对外贸影响的实证分析

国民经济储蓄部门结构一般可以由居民储蓄、企业储蓄、政府储蓄来表示。本文采用协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验的方法对我国储蓄结构的变化与对外贸易的关系分别进行了实证分析。实证结果表明:出口、进口与三部门储蓄存在着长期的均衡关系,企业部门的储蓄是出口和进口增加的重要原因。保持对外贸易的平衡依赖于政府对各部门储蓄结构分布的合理引导。

Demonstrative analysis of China reserve structure change's influence on foreign trade

The savings structure of economy usually can be expressed by residents savings,enterprise savings and government savings.This article will make an empirical research on the relations between the departmental structure of savings and foreign trade of our country by cointegration analysis and granger causality tests.The empirical evidence shows that there is a long-term balanced relations among the export,the import and the savings of three departments.The business sector' savings is an important reason to in...