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我国农产品出口对农民收入影响的实证分析
引用本文:王燕飞,曾国平.我国农产品出口对农民收入影响的实证分析[J].国际商务-(对外经济贸易大学学报),2006(4).
作者姓名:王燕飞  曾国平
作者单位:重庆大学贸易与行政学院 重庆400030
摘    要:提高农民收入是当前我国经济社会发展的一个重要课题,本文从实证角度,运用Granger因果关系检验和协整分析方法,深入分析了农产品出口对农民收入的影响,得出:我国农产品出口是农民收入变动的Granger原因,农产品出口与农民收入间存在长期的稳定均衡关系,农民收入显著地受前一期农产品出口的影响。因此努力扩大农产品出口是当前增加农民收入的有效途径。

关 键 词:农产品出口  农民收入  Granger因果关系检验  协整分析

Agricultural Export and Farmers' Income: Empirical Analysis Based on the Causality
WANG Yan-fei ZENG Guo-ping.Agricultural Export and Farmers' Income: Empirical Analysis Based on the Causality[J].International Business,2006(4).
Authors:WANG Yan-fei ZENG Guo-ping
Institution:WANG Yan-fei ZENG Guo-ping
Abstract:Based on the realistic circumstance of the obviously extroverted pulls of agricultural export to rural economy and farmers' income, this paper analyzes the relations between agricultural export and farmers' income. The paper concludes that agricultural export is the Granger causality of farmers' income changing and there is a long-term stable equilibrium between agricultural export and farmers' income. So enlarging agricultural export is a useful way to increase farmers' income.
Keywords:Agricultural export  Farmers' income  Granger causality test  Cointegration analysis
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