“10+3”服务贸易竞合可能性分析

首先分析了服务贸易的现状,随后采取多种方法考察了其国际竞争力及出口相似性,以期探析"10+3"服务贸易竞争与合作的可能性。研究表明,采取不同指标测度服务贸易竞争力会得出不同的结论,东盟与中、日、韩服务贸易的比较优势存在差异,而各类服务内部贸易比重较高为进一步合作提供了可能,但出口相似性较高致使竞争明显,由此"10+3"之间的服务贸易是合作与竞争并存。

An Analysis on the Possibility of Competitiveness and Cooperation in Service Trade among"10+3"

Firstly, this article analyzes the status quo of service trade among"10+3", and then calculates the international competitiveness and export similarity by different methods, so as to learn about the possibility of competitiveness and cooperation in service trade among"10+3". There comes the following conclusions that different index for calculating competitiveness of service trade will achieve different remark, and different regions among ASEAN, China, Japan and Korea has different comparative advantage in service trade, and possibility for further cooperation as for proportion of intra-industry service trade is fairly high, while export similarity being rather high induces heated competitiveness. Therefore, service trade among"10+3"will maintain a state of cooperation mingled with competitiveness for a long time.