| 消费波动对经济增长影响的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 毕玉江.消费波动对经济增长影响的实证研究[J].经济经纬,2010(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 毕玉江 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海立信会计学院,经贸学院,上海,201620 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市教委高水平特色发展项目资助;;上海市哲学社会科学规划项目(2008EJB003) |
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| 摘 要： | 在金融信用危机爆发、国外需求不振的情况下,内需已经成为经济平稳增长的首要因素。笔者研究了改革开放以来我国消费与经济增长之间的关系,并且分城镇和农村研究了消费构成的经济增长效应。实证研究发现,我国消费增加1%,当期经济增长提高0.7个百分点;前一期消费与本期经济增长之间存在负相关关系,消费增长率和经济增长率之间存在正向关系;城镇居民消费是经济增长的格兰杰原因,但农村居民消费并不满足这一结论。
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| 关 键 词： | 消费 经济增长 实证研究 |
An Empirical Research on the Effect of Consumption Fluctuation on Economic Growth |
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| BI Yu-jiang.An Empirical Research on the Effect of Consumption Fluctuation on Economic Growth[J].Economic Survey,2010(1). |
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| Authors: | BI Yu-jiang |
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| Institution: | School of Economics and Trade;Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce;Shanghai 201620;China |
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| Abstract: | Domestic demand has become the most important factor to support the stable economic growth in the condition of financial crisis and weak oversea demand.The author researches the relationship between consumption and economic growth in our country since the reform and opening and analyzes the effect of consumption structure on economic growth in urban and rural areas respectively.The empirical study indicates that 1% increase in consumption will lead to 0.7% increase in economic growth;there is a negative cor... |
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| Keywords: | consumption economic growth empirical research |
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