Causal inference,time and observation plans in the social sciences |
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Authors: | Blossfeld Hans-Peter Rohwer Götz |
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Affiliation: | 1. Institut für Empirische und Angewandte Soziologie (EMPAS), Fachbereich 8, University of Bremen, Postfach 330 440, F-28334, Bremen, Germany
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Abstract: | This paper first discusses the role of time in causal inferences in the social sciences. It then compares in detail how panel and event history observation designs affect causal analysis. It shows that the collection of event history data is an extremely useful approach for uncovering causal relationships or mapping out systems of causal relations. It concludes that event history data provide an optimal basis for a causal understanding of social processes because they allow the social researcher to relate the change in future outcomes to conditions in the past at each point in time. |
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