| 基于偏离-份额模型的珠三角城市产业结构变动研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 周元,刘建平.基于偏离-份额模型的珠三角城市产业结构变动研究[J].经济前沿,2011(1):33-39. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周元 刘建平 |
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| 作者单位： | 暨南大学经济学院统计学系 |
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| 摘 要： | 产业结构是影响区域经济发展的重要因素。以广东省平均发展水平为参照系,结合各市工业化发展水平,运用偏离-份额分析法对2004-2008年珠江三角洲的九个城市的产业结构份额、竞争力份额及其贡献率进行了分析。研究结果表明：在产业结构份额和竞争力份额方面,佛山、东莞、中山三市优势明显,广州、深圳两市竞争力份额为负,且负向影响较大;就三次产业结构而言,珠三角第一产业发展缓慢,以第二产业为主,但其竞争力处于劣势,第三产业发展迅速,但所占比重仍然偏低;除珠海、江门、肇庆三市外,其余各市第三产业竞争力份额较高,以广州、深圳、东莞为主,起到较大带动作用。根据计算分析结果,提出了珠三角各地区产业结构优化调整的发展方向。
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| 关 键 词： | 产业结构 偏离-份额分析 工业化水平 优化调整 珠三角 |
A Study on Changes in the Industrial Structure of Cities in Pearl River Delta Based on Shift-Share Method |
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| ZHOU Yuan,LIU Jian-ping.A Study on Changes in the Industrial Structure of Cities in Pearl River Delta Based on Shift-Share Method[J].Forward Position in Economics,2011(1):33-39. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yuan LIU Jian-ping |
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| Institution: | ZHOU Yuan LIU Jian-ping |
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| Abstract: | Industrial structure is the important factor of regional economic development.Consideration of urban industrial development,the article adopts Shift-Share Method to analyze the nine citys' industrial structure shift component,industrial competitive power shift component and the related proportion in the urban cluster of Pearl River Delta during 2004 to 2008,which takes the Guangdong Province as the reference system.It is showed that the cities of Foshan,Dongguan and Zhongshan have a significant advantage in... |
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| Keywords: | industrial structure shift-share analysis level of industrial development optimization and adjustment Pearl River Delta |
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