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Impact of the federal open market committee's meetings and scheduled macroeconomic news on stock market uncertainty
Authors:Jussi Nikkinen
Institution:Department of Accounting and Finance, University of Vaasa, P.O. Box 700, 65101 Vaasa, Finland
Abstract:This study investigates the impact of the scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings and the scheduled macroeconomic news releases on stock market uncertainty. For that purpose, the behavior of the implied volatility of the S&P100 index (VIX) is investigated around the FOMC meeting days and around the employment, producer price index (PPI), and consumer price index (CPI) reports. The results support the hypothesis that implied volatility increases prior to the scheduled news and drops after the announcement. The results reveal that investors regard the FOMC meetings as highly significant for valuing stocks as hypothesized. Of the macroeconomic news releases, the employment report has the largest impact on uncertainty, whereas investors regard the information content of the PPI and CPI together as significant.
Keywords:FOMC meeting  Implied volatility  Index options  Macroeconomic news  Uncertainty
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