THE FISCAL MULTIPLIER AND ECONOMIC POLICY ANALYSIS IN THE UNITED STATES |
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| Authors: | Charles J Whalen Felix Reichling |
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| Institution: | 1. 202‐226‐2772202‐226‐0332;2. Principal Analyst, Macroeconomic Analysis Division, Congressional Budget Office, Washington, DC 20515 |
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| Abstract: | The Great Recession sparked wide interest in the economic effects of fiscal policy. That interest is reflected in an ongoing debate over the size of the fiscal multiplier. This survey article addresses three questions: What models do economists use to estimate that multiplier? Why do estimates of it vary widely? How can economists use those estimates to judiciously analyze U.S. economic policy? (JEL E62, H30, H50) |
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