疫情对进出口企业的影响机制及其效应研究

疫情蔓延给出口企业带来了显著冲击。本文采用2002—2003年中国工业企业的面板数据,从微观层面实证检验了“非典”疫情对我国企业出口的影响。研究结果表明:“非典”疫情导致我国企业出口产品价值显著下降;改变疫情严重程度、替换出口价值变量或通过PSM-DID模型等方法重新估计之后,疫情仍与企业出口显著负相关;疫情主要通过冲击企业的出口数量影响企业出口,而对出口产品价格有一定的提升作用;小企业及我国传统具有出口优势的行业受影响较大,疫情叠加贸易壁垒尤其是关税壁垒对企业出口具有更大的联动影响。

Study on the Mechanism And Effect of the Epidemic on Import and Export Enterprises

The spread of the epidemic has brought a significant impact on export companies.This paper uses the panel data of Chinese industrial enterprises from 2002 to 2003 to empirically test the impact of the SARS epidemic on the export of Chinese enterprises from the micro level.The research results show that the SARS epidemic has caused a significant decline in the value of Chinese companies’export products;after changing the severity of the epidemic,replacing export value variables,or re-estimating them through methods such as PSM-DID models,the epidemic is still significantly negatively correlated with corporate exports;the epidemic is mainly passed The export volume that impacts enterprises affects the export of enterprises,and has a certain effect on the price of export products;small enterprises and industries with traditional export advantages in China are more affected,and the epidemic situation superimposed on trade barriers,especially tariff barriers,has a greater impact on corporate exports.Linkage influence.