| 基于灰色系统理论的茂名市物流需求预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗永华,何忠伟.基于灰色系统理论的茂名市物流需求预测分析[J].物流科技,2010,33(7):19-21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗永华 何忠伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 茂名学院,经济管理学院,广东,茂名,525000
2. 北京农学院,经济管理学院,北京,昌平,102206 |
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| 基金项目： | 北京市属市管高等学校人才强教计划项目的资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 物流产业发展规划的制定、物流基础设施建设的可行性研究等都需要有确切的物流需求数据作为依据．因此，建立科学合理的预测模型对物流需求进行定量预测，就显得尤为重要。通过建立GM（1，1）来对茂名物流需求量进行定量预测，同时根据预测结果提出相应的对策，试图为茂名市政府制定物流决策提供一定的参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰模型 物流需求 预测 |
The Analysis and Forecast on Logistics Demand of Maoming City Based on Gray System Theory |
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| LUO Yong-hua,HE Zhong-wei.The Analysis and Forecast on Logistics Demand of Maoming City Based on Gray System Theory[J].Logistics Management,2010,33(7):19-21. |
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| Authors: | LUO Yong-hua HE Zhong-wei |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Economics and Management, Maoming University, Maoming 525000, China; 2. School of Economics and Management in Beijing University of Agriculture, Changping 102206, China) |
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| Abstract: | The draughting of logistics industry developing plan, the feasibility studies on constructing logistics infrastructure and so on need to have the exact data as the basis of logistics requirements, the establishment of a scientific and rational logistics demand forecasting model for quantitative prediction, it is very important. In this paper, the establishment of GM （1,1） to the logistics demand for a quantitative prediction in Maoming, then proposing countermeasures as the forecast results to develop the logistics, for the Maoraing municipal government to provide a reference for decision-making. |
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| Keywords: | gray model logistics demand forecasting |
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