| 安徽省金融发展与经济增长的因果方向性实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋满霖,孙士金.安徽省金融发展与经济增长的因果方向性实证研究[J].广西金融研究,2009(8). |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋满霖 孙士金 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽工业大学经济学院,安徽,马鞍山,243002 |
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| 基金项目： | 安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目--"基于新农村建设中的安徽省农村金融生态体系构建研究"成果之一;项目，项目负责人:蒋满霖 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文基于1978-2008年时间序列,利用协整与格兰杰(Cranger)因果关系检验方法,采用金融发展规模、效率以及股票市场规模等指标,研究了安徽省金融发展与经济增长之间的因果方向性问题.结论是:安徽金融规模的扩张与经济增长存在双向因果关系;金融发展效率是经济增长的原因.但反过来,经济增长并没有促进金融发展效率的提高;股票市场的发展与经济增长不存在格兰杰因果关系.
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| 关 键 词： | 安徽省 金融发展 经济增长 因果关系检验 |
An Empirical Study on Causality Direction between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Anhui Province |
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| Jiang Manlin,Sun shijin.An Empirical Study on Causality Direction between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Anhui Province[J].JOurnal of Guangxi Financial Research,2009(8). |
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| Authors: | Jiang Manlin Sun shijin |
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| Institution: | Anhui University of Technology;Ma'anshan Anhui 243002 |
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| Abstract: | This paper uses the co-integration and Granger causality tests to analyze the causality between financial development and economic growth of Anhui province with time series data from 1978 to 2008.The research employs three variables including index of scale,efficiency of financial development and securities development.The result of research shows that there is bidirectional causality between scale of financial development and economic growth.It also exists single-direction causality between efficiency of f... |
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| Keywords: | Financial Development Economic Growth Co-integration Granger Causality Test |
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