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金融开放外源性风险对中国经济金融稳定与安全的影响分析
引用本文:傅强,张小波.金融开放外源性风险对中国经济金融稳定与安全的影响分析[J].南开经济研究,2011(3).
作者姓名:傅强  张小波
作者单位:重庆大学经济与工商管理学院 400030
摘    要:本文在构建金融开放外源性风险体系基础上,应用“3δ”原理和偏最小二乘法对中国、东南亚和拉美等共26个国家的金融开放的外源性风险及其影响进行了分析,所得结果与26个国家的金融开放的实际十分吻合.研究表明“3δ”原理和偏最小二乘法在监测和分析发展中国家金融开放外源性风险产生的影响具有很强的实用性和可操作性,为建立金融开放外生源风险的评价机制,为提高金融开放监管效率,提供了相应的方法依据.

关 键 词:金融开放  外源性风险  风险评估  稳定与安全

The Analysis to the Effect of Exogenous Risk Caused by Financial Openness on Economic Stabilization and Safety
Fu Qiang , Zhang Xiaobo.The Analysis to the Effect of Exogenous Risk Caused by Financial Openness on Economic Stabilization and Safety[J].Nankai Economic Studies,2011(3).
Authors:Fu Qiang  Zhang Xiaobo
Institution:Fu Qiang Zhang Xiaobo(School of Economics and Business Administration Chongqing University,Chongqing 400030,China)
Abstract:Based on exogenous risk index system of caused by financial openness,this papers presents the measure of risk evaluation and forecast model of financial openness,and apply the partial least-squares regression to analyse the effect on the economic and fi-nancial stabilization and safety.by dint of those means,this papers use the financial open-ness practice in China to evalute the risk bank and forest the risk,then construe the infec-tion to the chinese economic and financial stabilization and safety.The res...
Keywords:Financial Openness  Exogenous Risk  Risk Evaluation  Stabilization and Safety  
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