The motorcycle Kuznets curve |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Policy Studies, Kwansei Gakuin University, Hyogo 669-1337, Japan;2. Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia;1. Centre for Transport and Society, Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of the West of England, Bristol BS16 1QY, UK;2. Department of Geography and Human Environment, Tel Aviv University, PO Box 39040, Tel Aviv 6139001, Israel |
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| Abstract: | The evolution of motorcycle ownership is a crucial issue for road safety, as motorcyclists are highly vulnerable road users. Analyzing a panel of 153 countries for the period 1963–2010, we document a motorcycle Kuznets curve which sees motorcycle dependence increase and then decrease as economies develop. Upswings in motorcycle ownership are particularly pronounced in densely populated countries. We also present macro-level evidence on the additional road fatalities associated with motorcycles. Our results indicate that many low-income countries face the prospect of an increasing number of motorcycle-related deaths over coming years unless adequate safety initiatives are implemented. |
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| Keywords: | Motorcycles Economic development Kuznets curve Road safety Road fatalities |
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