| 基于短期观测资料的冰厚极值统计 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗丽芬 陈国明. 基于短期观测资料的冰厚极值统计[J]. 石油工业技术监督, 2000, 16(9): 15-18 |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗丽芬 陈国明 |
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| 作者单位： | 石油大学(华东)海洋石油工程研究室!(东营257061) |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省自然科学基金!（Y98F060871） |
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| 摘 要： | 基于概率设计原理，对三种由短期冰厚观测资料推求极值分布的方法进行了探讨，分析了这三种方法的适用范围。根据ＪＺ２０－２ＭＵＱ平台上测得的１９９７－１９９９年度日冰厚资料，采用上述三种方法推求年极值冰厚的概率分布，并推算了不同重现期的极值冰厚，可为渤海海上结构物设计提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 海冰 概率设计 冰厚 极值分布 海上钻井平台 |
The Extreme Statistics of Ice Thickness Based on Observation Data in Short Time |
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| Lu Lifen,Chen Guoming,Huang Dongsheng. The Extreme Statistics of Ice Thickness Based on Observation Data in Short Time[J]. Technology Supervision In Petroleum Industry, 2000, 16(9): 15-18 |
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| Authors: | Lu Lifen Chen Guoming Huang Dongsheng |
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| Abstract: | Based on the probability design theory,the article analyzes three short - term ice - thickness observation data to induce extremal distribution.The author also analyzes the practical range .Accord - ing to the day ice - thickness in the JZ20 - 2MUQ platform from 1997 -1999, using the above 3 meth - ods to induce the year maximum ice - thickness statistical distrbution, the author makes a prediction for the maximum ice - thickness in retum period.This research gives refernce for the marine struc- ture design in the Bohai Sea. |
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| Keywords: | Sea ice Statistical design Ice - thickness Extreme distribution |
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