基于灰色系统理论的汽车报废量预测

随着汽车报废量快速提高,以及生产者责任制度的推行,报废汽车回收利用受到广泛关注。本文基于灰色系统理论,选取汽车全生命周期中的重要且白色信息指标,运用MGM(1,n)模型对汽车报废量进行预测,为建立汽车逆向物流系统及政府出台相关政策提供数量依据,促进报废汽车回收处理,达到保护环境、提高资源利用率和保障交通安全的目的。

Prediction of the Number of Elvs based on Grey System Theory

With the rapid increase in volume of end-of-life vehicles and the implementation of producer responsibility system,recycling of Elvs received extensive attention.Based on Grey system theory,this paper selcets important and clear factors in the whole life cycle of cars and use MGM(1,n) model to predit the amount of the Elvs,which provide quantitative basis for the esatablishment of the car reverse logistics system and the government policies issue.Then,these can promote recycling end-of-life vehicles,protect...